{"id":6213,"date":"2025-04-30T09:49:52","date_gmt":"2025-04-30T09:49:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/climease.com\/?p=6213"},"modified":"2025-07-18T07:47:50","modified_gmt":"2025-07-18T07:47:50","slug":"the-cbam-scope-expansion-what-to-expect-next","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/climease.com\/tr\/the-cbam-scope-expansion-what-to-expect-next\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0130BAM Kapsam\u0131n\u0131n Geni\u015fletilmesi - Bundan Sonra Ne Beklemeliyiz?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"6213\" class=\"elementor elementor-6213\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-65df0276 e-flex e-con-boxed e-con e-parent\" data-id=\"65df0276\" data-element_type=\"container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"e-con-inner\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-492a8212 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"492a8212\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<h2>Why the CBAM Scope Is Expanding<\/h2><p>CBAM aims to level the playing field between EU producers\u2014who face carbon costs under the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS)\u2014and foreign competitors. Limiting CBAM to basic materials risks carbon leakage: companies may move production steps abroad or switch to importing slightly processed goods to avoid carbon costs.<\/p><p>To prevent this, the EU plans to <strong>expand CBAM coverage<\/strong> across the full value chain, ensuring that carbon pricing applies more consistently and effectively.<\/p><h2>What Will Happen\u2014and When<\/h2><ul><li><strong>Q3\u2013Q4 2025:<\/strong> The EU Commission will publish a full <strong>scope review.<\/strong><\/li><li><strong>Early 2026:<\/strong> A legislative proposal will define <strong>new CN codes<\/strong> to be included.<\/li><li><strong>From 2027 onwards:<\/strong> New products will be <strong>phased into CBAM,<\/strong> aligned with the gradual <strong>phase-out of free allowances <\/strong>under the EU ETS.<\/li><li><strong>By 2030,<\/strong> CBAM is expected to cover almost <strong>all sectors included in the EU ETS.<\/strong><\/li><\/ul><h2>Vertical Expansion: Upstream and Downstream Coverage<\/h2><p><em>Upstream \u2013 Closing Raw Material Loopholes<\/em><\/p><p>Some essential inputs to CBAM-covered goods are currently outside its scope. These include <strong>scrap, coke, lime, alumina, and ferro-silicon.<\/strong> Experts warn that their exclusion weakens CBAM&#8217;s effectiveness, and the EU is likely to bring them in by <strong>2026<\/strong> to ensure consistent carbon pricing across production stages.<\/p><p><em>Downstream \u2013 Adding Simple Finished Products <\/em><\/p><p>CBAM currently applies to raw and semi-finished materials, but many finished metal goods remain excluded. To prevent circumvention, the EU plans to extend CBAM to <strong>simple downstream products<\/strong> primarily made of steel or aluminium\u2014such as:<\/p><ul><li>Structural frames<\/li><li>Bars and brackets<\/li><li>Shelving units<\/li><li>Prefabricated components<\/li><\/ul><p>For example, if steel tubes from Turkey are covered by CBAM but exhaust pipes made from them are not, companies may move manufacturing abroad to avoid compliance. Including downstream goods would remove this incentive.<\/p><p>Complex, multi-material goods\u2014like vehicles, industrial machinery (e.g. HS 8419), and electronics\u2014are expected to remain outside CBAM for now due to their low carbon intensity and the difficulty of calculating embedded emissions.<\/p><h2>Horizontal Expansion: Adding Entire New Sectors<\/h2><p>Beyond metals, CBAM is set to expand to other carbon-intensive sectors already covered by the EU ETS. Likely candidates include:<\/p><ul><li><strong>Glass and ceramics<\/strong> (e.g., float glass, tiles, bricks)<\/li><li><strong>Basic chemicals<\/strong> (e.g., methanol, ethylene)<\/li><li><strong>Polymers and plastics<\/strong> (e.g., polyethylene, polypropylene)<\/li><li><strong>Oil refining products<\/strong><\/li><li><strong>Pulp and paper<\/strong><\/li><\/ul><p>These sectors meet CBAM\u2019s criteria and are responsible for a significant share of industrial emissions in the EU.<\/p><h2>How the EU Will Decide What Gets Included<\/h2><p>To ensure a consistent and enforceable expansion, the EU will apply four main criteria to new product categories:<\/p><ol><li><strong>High embedded carbon<\/strong> \u2013 Measurable and significant emissions per unit.<\/li><li><strong>Trade exposure<\/strong> \u2013 Products heavily imported or exported.<\/li><li><strong>Leakage risk<\/strong> \u2013 Products that could be used to bypass CBAM.<\/li><li><strong>Data availability<\/strong> \u2013 Emissions must be traceable using reliable data or default values.<\/li><\/ol><p>Products that meet all four criteria will likely be added to the scope in 2026.<\/p><h2>Examples: What\u2019s Likely In or Out<\/h2><table style=\"font-weight: 400;\" data-tablestyle=\"MsoNormalTable\" data-tablelook=\"1696\" aria-rowcount=\"5\"><tbody><tr aria-rowindex=\"1\"><td data-celllook=\"4369\"><p><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Product<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:0}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><\/td><td data-celllook=\"4369\"><p><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Likely CBAM Status<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:0}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><\/td><td data-celllook=\"4369\"><p><b><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Reason<\/span><\/b><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:0}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr aria-rowindex=\"2\"><td data-celllook=\"4369\"><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Steel storage racks (HS 7308)<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:0}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><\/td><td data-celllook=\"4369\"><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Included<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:0}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><\/td><td data-celllook=\"4369\"><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Mostly steel; simple assembly<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:0}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr aria-rowindex=\"3\"><td data-celllook=\"4369\"><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Aluminium shelving units<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:0}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><\/td><td data-celllook=\"4369\"><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Included<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:0}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><\/td><td data-celllook=\"4369\"><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">High aluminium content; simple form<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:0}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr aria-rowindex=\"4\"><td data-celllook=\"4369\"><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Heat exchangers or furnaces (HS 8419)<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:0}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><\/td><td data-celllook=\"4369\"><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Excluded<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:0}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><\/td><td data-celllook=\"4369\"><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Multi-component; carbon not traceable<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:0}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><\/td><\/tr><tr aria-rowindex=\"5\"><td data-celllook=\"4369\"><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Motor vehicles (HS 8703)<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:0}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><\/td><td data-celllook=\"4369\"><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Excluded<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:0}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><\/td><td data-celllook=\"4369\"><p><span data-contrast=\"auto\">Complex assembly; low leakage risk<\/span><span data-ccp-props=\"{&quot;335551550&quot;:6,&quot;335551620&quot;:6,&quot;335559739&quot;:0}\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><p>If \u2265<strong>70% of a product\u2019s weight or value<\/strong> comes from a CBAM-covered material, it\u2019s a strong candidate for inclusion.<\/p><h2>What Companies Should Do Now<\/h2><p>To prepare for CBAM expansion, businesses should:<\/p><ul><li><strong>Map product portfolios<\/strong> to identify items with high steel, aluminium, glass, or chemical content.<\/li><li><strong>Check HS codes<\/strong> against CBAM and EU ETS coverage.<\/li><li><strong>Request emission<\/strong> <strong>data<\/strong> from suppliers, especially for metal-based goods.<\/li><li><strong>Update pricing models<\/strong> to incorporate future CBAM certificate costs.<\/li><\/ul><p>\u00a0<\/p><p>The Commission is also working on simplifying compliance. One proposal is to allow companies to use <strong>average emission intensities at the factory level,<\/strong> rather than tracking carbon at every process step. This would reduce the administrative burden while still supporting decarbonisation.<\/p><p>\u00a0<\/p><h2>Sonu\u00e7<\/h2><p>CBAM is entering its next phase. By expanding both <strong>within current sectors and into new industries,<\/strong> the EU aims to apply carbon pricing more fairly and effectively. The changes will close loopholes, protect local production, and strengthen the EU\u2019s climate goals.<\/p><p>For businesses, early preparation is essential. Start identifying at-risk products, collecting emissions data, and adjusting pricing structures now to stay ahead of the regulatory curve.<\/p><p><strong>Need help?<\/strong> Contact our experts at <a href=\"mailto:contact@climease.com\">contact@climease.com<\/a>.<\/p><p>\u00a0<\/p><h2>Kaynaklar<\/h2><ul><li><strong>European Commission<\/strong> <br \/>CBAM Regulation (EU) 2023\/956 and official transitional guidance documents. <br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/taxation-customs.ec.europa.eu\/carbon-border-adjustment-mechanism_en\">Link to EU CBAM page<\/a><\/li><li><strong>Sandbag \u2013 Precursors: The Products That Will Eat Away at CBAM\u2019s Effectiveness<\/strong> <br \/>Detailed analysis of upstream product loopholes like scrap and lime. <br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/sandbag.be\/\">https:\/\/sandbag.be<\/a><\/li><li><strong>Technopolis Group &amp; ERCST \u2013 Studies on CBAM Policy Impact &amp; Expansion<\/strong> <br \/>Reports on sector inclusion criteria, trade exposure, and emissions benchmarks guiding CBAM scope decisions. <br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/ercst.org\">https:\/\/ercst.org<\/a><\/li><\/ul>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Why the CBAM Scope Is Expanding CBAM aims to level the playing field between EU producers\u2014who face carbon costs under the EU Emissions Trading System (ETS)\u2014and foreign competitors. Limiting CBAM to basic materials risks carbon leakage: companies may move production steps abroad or switch to importing slightly processed goods to avoid carbon costs. To prevent [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":19,"featured_media":6314,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"content-type":"","inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[27,28],"class_list":["post-6213","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-e-learning","tag-cbam","tag-treshold"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v23.9 (Yoast SEO v26.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The CBAM Scope expansion \u2013 What to Expect Next | Climease<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The EU is considering other amendments to CBAM that could expand its scope both vertically, to encompass more downstream goods.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" 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