New webinar - CBAM Playbook: Calculate, Hedge and Stay Ahead

CBAM Default Values 2026: What the August Corrections Change for Cost Models

CBAM 2026 rewards manufacturers who can prove emissions, not just promise improvement

CBAM is becoming a market access test. Manufacturers that can provide verified, auditable emissions data will protect EU customer relationships and pricing power. Those that cannot be treated as higher risk and higher cost, even if their actual emissions are competitive. The priority for 2026 is credibility through verification, precursor coverage, and traceability, supported by systems that keep data audit ready.

The European Commission corrected the definitive-period CBAM default values through Implementing Regulation (EU) 2026/1740. The act was published on 31 July 2026, entered into force on 3 August and applies from 1 January 2026. The Commission then posted an information-only Excel workbook on 10 August. Importers that used the original tables must recalculate the full 2026 period, not only imports made after the correction.

The correction is broader than a short list of changed emission factors. It replaces Annexes I and IV, removes the pre-calculated columns that included future mark-ups, adds or corrects production-route indicators, clarifies units and fallback logic, and fixes selected country-code values. Some cost estimates fall sharply; others increase.

The August correction in brief

The European Commission corrected the definitive-period CBAM default values through Implementing Regulation (EU) 2026/1740. The act was published on 31 July 2026, entered into force on 3 August and applies from 1 January 2026. The Commission then posted an information-only Excel workbook on 10 August. Importers that used the original tables must recalculate the full 2026 period, not only imports made after the correction.

The correction is broader than a short list of changed emission factors. It replaces Annexes I and IV, removes the pre-calculated columns that included future mark-ups, adds or corrects production-route indicators, clarifies units and fallback logic, and fixes selected country-code values. Some cost estimates fall sharply; others increase.

  • Implementing Regulation (EU) 2026/1740 replaces Annexes I and IV to Implementing Regulation (EU) 2025/2621.
  • The corrected annexes apply retroactively from 1 January 2026.
  • Models must select the base value from the total-emissions column and then calculate the mark-up: 10% in 2026 for cement, iron and steel, aluminium and hydrogen, and 1% for fertilisers.
  • A blank or dash in a listed country row generally sends the model to the corresponding ‘Other countries and territories’ value.
  • Production-route indicators affect the free-allocation adjustment even where the base emissions value itself does not change.
  • The Commission’s Excel workbook is useful for implementation, but the legal values are the values in the regulation and its correcting act.

What was corrected and when

DateRegulatory eventCost model implication
31 December 2025Original Implementing Regulation (EU) 2025/2621 publishedMany teams loaded the first definitive-period tables
31 July 2026Implementing Regulation (EU) 2026/1740 publishedAnnexes I and IV are replaced in full
3 August 2026Correcting act enters into forceUse the corrected annexes, applying from 1 January 2026
10 August 2026Commission posts corrected Excel workbookReload the implementation dataset and retain source version
15 September 2026Current model review dateReconcile year-to-date imports against the corrected dataset

The regulation explains that several problems arose from transcription and consolidation errors. Rather than publish isolated edits, the Commission replaced the full annexes. That approach reduces the risk of missing an amendment but makes version control essential: a row copied from the original regulation can still look plausible even when it is no longer the applicable row.

Which parts of the dataset changed

Correction typeOfficial exampleWhy it matters to a model
Country and code valuesTaiwan CN codes 7218 to 7223 and ‘Other countries and territories’ CN 7226 20 00Changes the base total emissions and therefore the gross certificate exposure
Previously omitted valuesGabon and Liberia hydrogen; Guatemala and New Caledonia ferro-nickel; selected Albania, Zambia and Zimbabwe ferro-alloysReplaces the fallback value where the new country-specific row differs
Production routesMissing or incorrect indicators in Annexes I and IVChanges which CBAM benchmark supports the free-allocation adjustment
Mark-up presentationPre-calculated 2026, 2027 and 2028 columns removedThe model must calculate the mark-up from the base total, avoiding table-rounding inconsistencies
TARIC detailWhite and grey clinker or hydraulic cement; calcined kaolinic clayPrevents the wrong value being applied to products sharing a broader CN heading
Units and namingUnits specified and country naming alignedImproves data validation and mapping to customs master data
Unknown-country precursorsCN 7616 99 10 and 7616 99 90Corrects the high default used when precursor origin cannot be identified

How to calculate a 2026 default value

The corrected Annex I tells the importer to select the total-emissions default and apply the mark-up separately. For cement, iron and steel, aluminium and hydrogen, the 2026 marked-up default equals the base total multiplied by 1.10. For fertilisers, multiply by 1.01. Direct and indirect columns are provided for information; the total-emissions column drives the default used to calculate the number of certificates.

A transparent forecast keeps the calculation in three layers. First, multiply imported tonnes by the corrected marked-up total to calculate embedded emissions under the default route. Second, calculate the free-allocation adjustment under Implementing Regulation (EU) 2025/2620 and deduct any eligible carbon price effectively paid in the country of production. Third, value the remaining certificate requirement at the 2026 quarterly CBAM price that corresponds to the quarter of importation.

Model layerCalculationControl
Default emissionsTonnes imported × corrected total default × applicable mark-upCountry, code, fallback and dataset version
Certificate requirementDefault emissions less free-allocation adjustment and eligible carbon-price reductionProduction route, benchmark and evidence of price paid
Financial exposureCertificates required × quarter-specific 2026 CBAM priceQuarter of importation and official published price

Do not label the first layer as final CBAM liability. It is a gross carbon-price exposure used to isolate the impact of the corrected default values. The final certificate number depends on the free-allocation adjustment, carbon-price credit and the legal calculation applicable to the good.

Selected cost impacts at the Q2 2026 price

The following examples isolate the data change for 1,000 tonnes and use the Commission’s published Q2 2026 certificate price of €75.28. They apply the 10% default-value mark-up and show gross exposure before the free-allocation adjustment or any eligible carbon price paid abroad. Actual costs will also depend on the quarter of importation and the final certificate calculation.

Country and goodOriginal baseCorrected baseChangeOriginal gross exposureCorrected gross exposure
Taiwan stainless steel 7219 11 008.6904.940 fallback-43.2%€719,602€409,072
Other countries high-speed steel 7226 20 002.1505.500+155.8%€178,037€455,444
Gabon hydrogen 2804 10 0017.740 fallback10.820-39.0%€1,469,014€895,983
Unknown-origin aluminium precursor 7616 99 903.7705.559+47.5%€312,186€460,330
Guatemala ferro-nickel 7202 60 004.014 fallback3.480-13.3%€332,391€288,172

The Taiwan example also shows why fallback logic matters. The corrected country table contains dashes for the affected stainless-steel rows, so the model moves to the corresponding ‘Other countries and territories’ value. A model that treats the dash as zero would materially understate exposure, while a model that keeps the original Taiwan value would materially overstate it.

The ‘Other countries and territories’ correction for CN 7226 20 00 moves in the opposite direction. The base total rises from 2.150 to 5.500 tCO2e per tonne. For unknown-country aluminium precursors under CN 7616 99 90, the highest default rises from 3.770 to 5.559. These are precisely the cases where a version update can change procurement comparisons or provisions without any change in import volume.

Why production route corrections matter

A default emissions value feeds only part of the CBAM calculation. When a production route is attached to a product row, it identifies the relevant CBAM benchmark for the specific embedded free allocation. Missing or incorrect indicators can therefore change the free-allocation adjustment even if the total-emissions value stays the same.

The correcting regulation also clarifies that, where an HS-level group carries a production route but the benchmark for an eight-digit CN code has no route, the benchmark for that eight-digit code is independent of the route. Models should not automatically inherit a parent-code route without checking the legal row and benchmark mapping.

How to rebuild a 2026 CBAM cost model

Rebuilding the model is a controlled sequence, not a single find-and-replace of numbers.

  • Archive the original dataset and identify every calculated field that referenced it. Do not overwrite the old source without a version record.
  • Load the corrected Annex I and Annex IV values. Record the regulation number, workbook version date and ingestion timestamp.
  • Normalize spaces and punctuation in CN and TARIC codes, but preserve leading zeros and the distinction between four-, six-, eight- and ten-digit codes.
  • Apply the fallback rule explicitly. A listed country with a blank or dash normally points to the corresponding ‘Other countries and territories’ row; it does not mean zero emissions.
  • Calculate the mark-up from the corrected base total. Do not import the removed pre-calculated columns or recreate them from rounded historical outputs.
  • Map the corrected production-route indicator to the benchmark and free-allocation adjustment logic.
  • Recalculate all 2026 imports from 1 January, grouped by quarter of importation so each quarter uses its official CBAM certificate price.
  • Compare old and new outputs by country, code, supplier and purchase order. Route material movements to finance and procurement for review.
  • Keep actual supplier data and default values as separate scenarios. A corrected default should not overwrite verified installation-specific emissions.
  • Lock the new model version and add automated checks for missing codes, duplicate mappings, zero values, unexpected fallback rates and production-route changes.

Controls that prevent the next silent model error

  • Dataset hash or source version stored with every calculation run.
  • A fallback flag that shows why the ‘Other countries and territories’ row was used.
  • A variance report that isolates changes in emissions factor, mark-up, benchmark, price and import volume.
  • A quarterly price table sourced from the Commission rather than a live EU ETS spot-price feed.
  • A review queue for newly introduced TARIC distinctions and codes that map to more than one product description.
  • A supplier-level comparison between corrected defaults and verified actual emissions to prioritise data collection.

When actual emissions can improve the model

The correction does not make default values inherently good or bad. Some defaults fall, while others rise. The commercial question is whether verified actual emissions from a specific installation produce a lower and sufficiently reliable basis once data collection and verification costs are considered.

Start with the largest exposure and variance. Suppliers whose corrected default drives a material gross cost, a poor sourcing comparison or a high provision should move to the front of the actual-data programme. The evidence must follow the definitive-period methodology and be verified by an accredited CBAM verifier before the annual declaration relies on it.

Frequently asked questions

When did the corrected CBAM default values take effect?

Yes. The definitive regime applies from 1 January 2026. Certificate purchases for 2026 emissions begin on 1 February 2027, and the first declaration and surrender deadline is 30 September 2027.

Does the correction apply only to August imports?

The threshold is assessed per importer and calendar year across the net mass of in-scope cement, iron and steel, aluminium and fertiliser goods. Electricity and hydrogen do not benefit from the exemption.

Which CBAM annexes were replaced?

The obligations apply to all embedded emissions in all in-scope goods imported by that importer during the calendar year, including imports made before the threshold was crossed.

How is the 2026 default value mark-up calculated?

Yes, where the definitive rules allow them. Use the corrected country and product tables, apply the required 2026 mark-up to total emissions, and apply the correct fallback and production-route logic.

What does a dash in a country row mean?

Yes. When the annual declaration relies on actual emissions, the data must be verified by an independent verifier accredited by an EU national accreditation body.

Is the Commission Excel file legally binding?

Sales start on 1 February 2027. Certificates for 2026 imports must be available and surrendered with the first annual declaration by 30 September 2027.

Should importers still collect actual emissions?

An indirect customs representative can act as the authorised CBAM declarant when it accepts that role and meets the authorisation rules. Responsibility and data access should be agreed explicitly.

Update 2026 forecasts with the corrected data

Climease keeps customs, supplier and regulatory data connected so importers can identify which corrected rows change their exposure. Run a 2026 CBAM cost estimate or contact Climease to review the effect on your importer portfolio. 

This article provides general information and does not constitute legal, customs or tax advice. The examples show gross exposure before the free-allocation adjustment and any eligible carbon-price deduction.